The Oscars 2009: Predictions in Acting

Part IV!

Best Supporting Actor
Nominees

  • Josh Brolin in “Milk” (Focus Features)
  • Robert Downey Jr. in “Tropic Thunder” (DreamWorks, Distributed by DreamWorks/Paramount)
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman in “Doubt” (Miramax)
  • Heath Ledger in “The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.)
  • Michael Shannon in “Revolutionary Road” (DreamWorks, Distributed by Paramount Vantage)

Predicted Winner: Heath Ledger in “The Dark Knight” (Warner Bros.)
Looking back on the performances of the nominees, I actually do think Ledger deserves the award here. He gave the most transformed and captivating performance of the five, and he trounced Jack Nicholson as the pre-eminent version of the Joker.

Best Supporting Actress
Nominees

  • Amy Adams in “Doubt” (Miramax)
  • Penélope Cruz in “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” (The Weinstein Company)
  • Viola Davis in “Doubt” (Miramax)
  • Taraji P. Henson in “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.)
  • Marisa Tomei in “The Wrestler” (Fox Searchlight)

Predicted Winner: Marisa Tomei in “The Wrestler” (Fox Searchlight)
I’m really torn on this one. Personally, I’d have chosen Rebecca Hall (for Vicky Cristina Barcelona) or Amy Ryan (for Changeling) had they been nominated. As it is, I’ve switched Viola Davis and Marisa Tomei about six times just while trying to write this post. In the end, I’m going with Marisa Tomei, if only because she gave what I thought to be an equally devastating but lengthier performance.

Best Actor
Nominees

  • Richard Jenkins in “The Visitor” (Overture Films)
  • Frank Langella in “Frost/Nixon” (Universal)
  • Sean Penn in “Milk” (Focus Features)
  • Brad Pitt in “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” (Paramount and Warner Bros.)
  • Mickey Rourke in “The Wrestler” (Fox Searchlight)

Predicted Winner: Mickey Rourke in “The Wrestler” (Fox Searchlight)
Rourke seems to be the awards-season darling this year, and rightly so. His performance was brave, honest and heartbreaking. My only complaint for this category is the lack of a nomination for Michael Sheen in Frost/Nixon. Maybe the Academy just can’t swallow nominating someone who’s starred in the Underworld films.

Best Actress

Nominees

  • Anne Hathaway in “Rachel Getting Married” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  • Angelina Jolie in “Changeling” (Universal)
  • Melissa Leo in “Frozen River” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  • Meryl Streep in “Doubt” (Miramax)
  • Kate Winslet in “The Reader” (The Weinstein Company)

Predicted Winner: Kate Winslet in “The Reader” (The Weinstein Company)
Again, this seems to be Kate Winslet’s year, as predicted by Ricky Gervais. Not being a fan of The Reader, I really wish she’d been nominated for Revolutionary Road. Either way, though, Winslet’s an obviously gifted actress, and I’ve got no qualms about her finally getting her Oscar this year.

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